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2016 Golden Globes Predictions: Who Will Win?

Is Mr. Robot going to sweep?

joyce-eng.jpg
Joyce Eng

The most wonderful time of the year is here: awards season! It all kicks off with Sunday's Golden Globe Awards, where Ricky Gervais will probably totally burn Mel Gibson again. But who will go home with the trophies? Check out our predictions below and tell us your picks for the big prizes.

See the full list of Golden Globes nominees
TELEVISION
Drama Series

Will win:
Mr. Robot
The cyber-thriller is exactly the kind of cool, hot property the Golden Globes likes to anoint. Support is there with two acting nods for Rami Malek and Christian Slater, and the Hollywood Foreign Press Association won't pass up a chance to give USA its first major series award. (The network only has one other series Globe nod under its belt, for its long-running comedy Monk 12 years ago.).
Watch out for:
Outlander
Sprawling and romantic, Outlander matches Mr. Robot with two acting nods -- all the more impressive since it received zero nods in its freshman season. If the HFPA is determined to (over-)correct that oversight, the Starz series could claim its first series Globe.

Comedy/Musical Series
Will win: Transparent
Unlike the Emmys and SAGs, the Globes doesn't often do repeat winners or long streaks, but Transparent, which leads the field of seven with three nods, is in prime position to defend its crown. It'd be the first to win back-to-back in this category since Glee five years ago.
Watch out for:
Veep
Will the Globes feel pressure to play catch-up? It's never been big on the reigning Emmy champ -- this is Veep's first series nomination -- but it also doesn't want to look dumb and out of the loop. (For the record, reigning Emmy drama series champ Game of Thrones has also never won the top prize at the Globes.)

Drama Actor
Will win:
Rami Malek, Mr. Robot
Breakout star + knockout performance + buzzy new show = unbeatable Globe-winning formula.
Watch out for: Jon Hamm, Mad Men
History is against Hamm here. No former drama actor winner has been dropped (he was MIA the past two years and three in total) and then return to win. But the Mad Men star could be the exception since he previously prevailed in 2008, the year of the writers' strike, and didn't get to give a speech. It'd also be a nice reminder that the Globes first honored him seven years before the Emmys did.

Drama Actress
Will win:
Taraji P. Henson, Empire
Rewarding Henson's ferociously campy Cookie is the Globes' best opportunity to recognize 2015's other big hit, which premiered days before last year's ceremony.
Watch out for: Caitriona Balfe, Outlander
The beguiling Irish star is right up the HFPA's alley. Also keep an eye out for Emmy champ Viola Davis (How to Get Away with Murder), who has never won a Globe for film or TV.
Comedy/Musical Actor

Will win: Gael Garcia Bernal, Mozart in the Jungle
Bernal's electric maestro is dynamite and the HFPA is clearly high on the Amazon series, giving it two nods. Bernal is also the type of international star with whom voters are very familiar, from his breakthrough in Globe nominee Y Tu Mama Tambien to starring in Babel, which won drama picture at the Globes in 2007.
Watch out for: Jeffrey Tambor, Transparent
Tambor is the only other nominee whose show is also up for comedy series. He'd be the first person since Alec Baldwin six years ago to defend his title.
Comedy/Musical Actress

Will win:
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
If the Globes is going to play catch-up anywhere, it'll probably be here first. Though she's a four-time reigning Emmy champ, Louis-Dreyfus has never won a Globe for Veep. (This is basically the Bryan Cranston/Breaking Bad situation all over again.) Look for that to change now that Veep is finally in the series race.
Watch out for: Rachel Bloom, Crazy Ex-Girlfriend
Bloom is not quite the breakthrough star like recent past champs Gina Rodriguez and America Ferrara (whose shows were also nominated), but she puts the "musical" in "comedy/musical."

Supporting Actor in a Series, Miniseries or TV Movie
Will win: Tobias Menzies, Outlander
Outlander is likely to cash in on one of its three nods here for Menzies' chillingly menacing Black Jack Randall.
Watch out for: Christian Slater, Mr. Robot
Rarely do you see sweeps at the Globes (that goes against its Spread the Wealth mantra), but if voters really love Mr. Robot, Slater will be swept along for the ride.
Supporting Actress in a Series, Miniseries or TV Movie

Will win:
Regina King, American Crime
The catch-all supporting categories are a crapshoot and the Globes always throws in a curveball somewhere, so we'll tip the Emmy champ's emotional, raw turn on the ABC drama. Maybe she'll get brownie points for The Leftovers too?
Watch out for:
Uzo Aduba, Orange Is the New Black
Crazy Eyes has become the go-to awards recipient for Orange, which has never won a Globe.

Golden Globes surprises and snubs: Netflix and Amazon dominate, but broadcast has a very bad day

FILM

Drama Picture
Will win:
Spotlight
Tom McCarthy's real-life drama and ode to investigative journalism, rendered with razor-like precision, needs this win to maintain its almost de facto frontrunner status. And remember, the HFPA is a bunch of journalists.
Watch out for: Carol
Todd Haynes' beautiful period piece leads the field with five nods.

Comedy/Musical Picture
Will win:
The Big Short
The late-breaking scathing indictment of the financial industry ought to edge out The Martian, which was controversially voted into the comedy category.
Watch out for: Trainwreck
Every now and then, the Globes go for an actual comedy, so Trainwreck could be the Hangover of this year.
Drama Actor

Will win:
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
The final -- and most important -- stretch of Leo's Oscar campaign starts right here. It'd be the upset of the night if he doesn't win for his visceral, bison-eating performance. He's exactly the big-time star that the Globes can't resist (he's won twice before), but most importantly, the world has agreed that it's finally his time to go all the way, now that he's dominated the critics awards, which he has never done before.
Watch out for:
Bryan Cranston, Trumbo
Trumbo has been a dark horse all season and Cranston's crackling turn as the Oscar-winning blacklisted screenwriter Dalton Trumbo is flashy enough to overtake Leo.

Drama Actress
Will win:
Brie Larson, Room
First, let's give a slow clap to the HFPA for taking a stand against category fraud and nominating Rooney Mara (Carol) and Alicia Vikander (The Danish Girl) in lead instead of supporting, where they're being campaigned. Unfortunately, they'll probably come up short to Larson's harrowing portrait of a kidnapped young mother. The 26-year-old actress also fits one of the Globes' favorite types of winners: ingénues.
Watch out for: Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn
There isn't a lovelier performance this year than Ronan's in this immigrant tale, which should speak to the Hollywood Foreign Press. She's also a past nominee in a former Globe drama picture winner (Atonement).

Comedy/Musical Actor
Will win
: Matt Damon, The Martian
The Martian works so well because of Damon's infinite winning charm. He's also never won a Globe for acting, and his first and only win (for writing Good Will Hunting) was 18 long years ago.
Watch out for: Christian Bale, The Big Short
Bale's oddball performance and his Big Short co-star Steve Carell's rage-filled one ought to be formidable competition for Damon (if they don't cancel each other out).

Comedy/Musical Actress
Will win:
Amy Schumer, Trainwreck
Battle of the BFFs! Look for Schumer to squeak out a victory over bestie Jennifer Lawrence as a way for the HFPA to recognize her awesome 2015.
Watch out for: Jennifer Lawrence, Joy
You probably won't buy the 25-year-old as a 43-year-old in Joy, but you can never count out the Globe darling, who's going for her third trophy in four years.

Supporting Actor
Will win:
Sylvester Stallone, Creed
Sly's the guy with the narrative this year and should walk away for his sweet, soulful take on fighter-turned-mentor Rocky -- 39 years after his first two nominations for playing and writing everyone's favorite underdog. It won't be unlike Mickey Rourke's comeback win for The Wrestler seven years ago.
Watch out for: Idris Elba, Beasts of No Nation
A former Globe champ, Elba is also nominated for Luther, so the HFPA might want to ensure he doesn't go home empty-handed. Also keep an eye out for Bridge of Spies' understated scene-stealer Mark Rylance, who's nominated against Elba on the TV side for Wolf Hall as well.

Supporting Actress
Will win:
Alicia Vikander, Ex Machina
Vikander, who's also up in drama actress for The Danish Girl, was the Jessica Chastain of 2015, breaking out with a handful of star-making performances, none more enigmatic than her perfect robot Ava.
Watch out for: Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight
Leigh's foul-mouthed Daisy is the best part of Quentin Tarantino's Western. The actress, who won a special Golden Globe with the cast of Short Cuts 22 years ago, is also a child of Hollywood -- the daughter of late Combat! star Vic Morrow -- and the Globes love their famous offspring (Miss and Mr. Golden Globe are always children of celebs).

Who do you think will win?

The Golden Globe Awards airs Sunday at 8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT on NBC.