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2016 SAG Awards Predictions: Who Will Win?

Tell us your picks!

Joyce Eng

Awards season rolls on to the 22nd Screen Actors Guild Awards Saturday (8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT on TNT and TBS). Will Game of Thrones win its first SAG? Can anyone stop Leonardo DiCaprio? Check out our predictions and tell us yours.

Mad Men, Game of Thrones, Rami Malek lead SAG nominations

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Drama Ensemble
Will win: Game of Thrones
There is no better time for Game of Thrones to finally win this award. The industry support appears to be there after the show swept the Emmys last year and there's no breakout new hit consuming the oxygen in the room (sorry about the snub, Mr. Robot). Their stunt ensemble wins notwithstanding, Thrones has never won a SAG award.
Watch out for: Downton Abbey
The reigning champ would claim its third trophy, putting it one short of ER's record four. Also watch out for Mad Men if voters are really feeling sentimental.

Comedy Ensemble
Will win: Transparent
The SAGs will want to wipe the egg off their face for not nominating Transparent at all last year, and those Pfeffermans are all beautiful disasters.
Watch out for: Orange Is the New Black
The defending champ boasts the largest cast (34 people) and that's often enough for votes to check off a name.

Drama Actor
Will win: Jon Hamm, Mad Men
After hardly winning anything, Hamm is on a roll following wins at the Emmys and Golden Globes. His farewell victory lap ought to conclude with his first individual SAG trophy (he has two ensemble ones). The SAGs brought both Hamm and the cast back into the mix after dropping them the past two years, and honoring Hamm is the easiest way to send the iconic series off into the sunset.
Watch out for: Kevin Spacey, House of Cards
If the SAGs wants to be cool and hip, they'll go for Rami Malek (Mr. Robot), but they're usually creatures of habit, so defending champ Spacey could be the eighth person to win this twice.

Drama Actress
Will win: Viola Davis, How to Get Away with Murder
The SAGs love repeat winners and there's no reigning champ easier to vote for than Davis. She's dynamite on the show and a well regarded, classy stateswoman who will undoubtedly give another stirring speech on diversity and opportunity in Hollywood in light of recent events. She'd be the third person to win this twice after Gillian Anderson and Allison Janney.
Watch out for: Maggie Smith, Downton Abbey
Never count out Maggie Smith, who shocked here two years ago just for being Maggie Smith.

Comedy Actor
Will win: Jeffrey Tambor, Transparent
After last year's egregious snub, the SAGs cannot ignore Transparent's superb leading man, who has literally won everything else. This would mirror their "our bad" makeup win for Claire Danes in 2012 after completely overlooking breakout hit Homeland during its first season.
Watch out for: William H. Macy, Shameless
The defending champ is precisely the type of beloved veteran the SAGs repeatedly awards.

Comedy Actress
Will win: Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
Coming off a comedy series win and her fourth straight victory at the Emmys and smack dab in an election year, JLD ought to take home her second SAG for Veep. She would tie Tina Fey with four overall wins in the category.
Watch out for: Uzo Aduba, Orange Is the New Black
Aduba, who won last year, could come one step closer to becoming his decade's Megan Mullally, who earned three straight trophies for her own irrepressible scene-stealer.

TV Movie/Miniseries Actor
Will win: Idris Elba, Luther
A double nominee, Elba is facing off against Mark Rylance (Wolf Hall) in this category and in the film supporting actor race, so this would be a perfect consolation prize -- not unlike Mark Ruffalo's triumph here last year for The Normal Heart since he had no chance against J.K. Simmons on the film side.
Watch out for: Bill Murray, A Very Murray Christmas
Murray can win this on name alone and if you've seen the Netflix special, then you know he also has a lotta friends in the biz.

TV Movie/Miniseries Actress
Will win: Queen Latifah, Bessie
Latifah's soulful embodiment of blues singer Bessie Smith in her protracted passion project should bring her a second trophy in this category, which would tie her with Helen Mirren and Alfre Woodard
Watch out for: Nicole Kidman, Grace of Monaco
The SAGs name-check-nominated her, so we wouldn't put it past them to actually give it to her. Although it would be tragic for Kidman, who has never won a SAG for her film work, to pop her SAG cherry with this abomination.

SAG Awards surprises and snubs: Rami Malek hacks into the field, Empire gets shut out

FILM Ensemble
Will win: The Big Short
The star-studded financial crisis farce continues to rise and is flashier, in style and performances, than its closest competitor Spotlight. Since it honors acting, the SAG ensemble prize has only matched the Oscar Best Picture 10 times in the category's 20-year history, but that plus the Producers Guild Award -- which The Big Short won last Saturday -- is a pretty unbeatable combo at the Oscars. Only two films have lost the Best Picture Oscar after winning SAG and PGA: Apollo 13 and Little Miss Sunshine.
Watch out for: Spotlight
With its subdued but no less excellent performances, the one-time front-runner needs this to remain in the Oscar conversation.

Lead Actor
Will win:
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant
Like at the Oscars, DiCaprio has never won a SAG of any kind. Think of it this way: Ludacris has a SAG, for best ensemble in Crash, and Leo has zero. But it's Leo's year, and that should carry his brutal performance over the finish line.
Watch out for: Bryan Cranston, Trumbo
The SAGs has a huge jones for Trumbo, giving it three nods, and the best place to recognize it is Crantson's charged turn as the titular blacklisted screenwriter. But what really gives Cranston an edge is residual Breaking Bad love. He's a hugely popular, charming star from a hugely popular show whose career ascension is the stuff working actors' dreams are made of.

Lead Actress
Will win: Brie Larson, Room
Larson dominated the circuit so far with her unforgettably raw turn as Jack's devoted Ma. Only six times in 21 years has the SAG winner not gone on to win the lead actress Oscar.
Watch out for: Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn
Ronan has been on Larson's heels all season collecting critics' prizes, but the Irish star has a better shot upsetting her at the BAFTAs. Of note: If Cate Blanchett (Carol) prevails, she'd be the first person to win this category twice.

Supporting Actor
Will win: Christian Bale, The Big Short
Oscar favorite Sylvester Stallone (Creed) is not nominated, so he's probably hoping that the un-Oscar-nominated Jacob Tremblay (Room), Idris Elba (Beasts of No Nation) or Michael Shannon (99 Homes) win. But we'll tip Bale, whose movie is not only peaking, but he's a favorite among his peers, who gave him a surprise Oscar nomination for American Hustle two years ago. He'd be the first person to win this category two times.
Watch out for: Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies
A critical darling, Rylance has been the only constant in this topsy-turvy race all season. Plus, the three-time Tony winner and theater treasure might score points for crossing the bridge (no pun intended) from the stage to screen.

Supporting Actress
Will win: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl
Because of all the category fraud by Vikander's and Carol star Rooney Mara's campaigners, this has been the most unpredictable acting race. But whoever wins here will probably win the Oscar (the category has matched the Oscars 14 times, with Kate Winslet winning the lead actress Oscar for The Reader). Vikander has the edge not only because of her arguably lead performance, but she had a banner year in 2015 with multiple films, including Ex Machina, which scored her a slew of critics' awards.
Watch out for: Kate Winslet, Steve Jobs
Winslet shocked at the Globes and the SAGs do love her -- she's won this category twice and would be the first to win it three times.

Who do you think will win?

The SAG Awards air Saturday at 8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT on TNT and TBS.