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See who, based on previous wins, has the best odds of taking home Oscar gold

Shaun Harrison
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1 of 24 Roadside Attractions; Fox Searchlight; Weinstein Company; Sony Pictures Releasing; Paramount Pictures

Lead Actor

Javier Bardem, Biutiful Jeff Bridges, True Grit Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network Colin Firth, The King's Speech James Franco, 127 Hours TV Guide Network's red carpet coverage begins Sunday at 5 ET/2 PT with Academy Awards Red Carpet Countdown followed by Academy Awards Red Carpet with Chris Harrison at 6 ET/3 PT. The 83rd Annual Academy Awards airs at 8:30/7:30c on ABC. And be sure to tune in to Academy Awards Red Carpet Fashion Wrap on Monday at 8/7c.
2 of 24 Paramount Pictures

Jeff Bridges, True Grit

The reigning best actor Oscar winner has snagged nominations here and there, including at the all-important big shows, but hasn't won anything.
3 of 24 Roadside Attractions

Javier Bardem, Biutiful

Bardem may have been snubbed left and right this awards season before receiving BAFTA and Oscar nominations, but unlike Bridges, he's won two trophies already: best actor at the Cannes Film Festival and (unsurprisingly) at the Goya Awards (the Spanish Oscars).
4 of 24 Fox Searchlight

James Franco, 127 Hours

The Oscar host has consistently landed nominations, but has only won a handful of second-tier critics awards.
5 of 24 Sony Pictures Releasing

Jesse Eisenberg, The Social Network

Eisenberg won the first trophy of the awards season: the prestigious National Board of Review. He's also picked up a few other critics wins, including one from the respected National Society of Film Critics, putting him slightly ahead of Franco.
6 of 24 Weinstein Company

Colin Firth, The King's Speech

Bow down to Firth's haul. The biggest lock out of all the acting races, Firth has snagged more than 20 awards so far, including the Broadcast Film Critics Award, the Golden Globe and the Screen Actors Guild Award. Can anyone upset him?
7 of 24 Fox Searchlight; Roadside Attractions; Focus Features; Weinstein Company; Lionsgate

Lead Actress

Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole Jennifer Lawrence, Winter's Bone Natalie Portman, Black Swan Michelle Williams, Blue Valentine
8 of 24 Weinstein Company

Michelle Willliams, Blue Valentine

Williams won one critics award out of several nominations, but her lack of a SAG nod hurts her since actors make up the largest Oscar voting bloc.
9 of 24 Lionsgate Films

Nicole Kidman, Rabbit Hole

Kidman has earned a bunch of critics nominations and has shown up at all the big precursors, but has always walked home empty-handed. At least she already has an Oscar on her mantel.
10 of 24 Roadside Attractions

Jennifer Lawrence, Winter's Bone

The ingénue is the only other nominee outside of Portman and Bening to win multiple awards this season.
11 of 24 Focus Features

Annette Bening, The Kids Are All Right

The four-time Oscar nominee's haul includes a Globe and the New York Film Critics Circle award, but Bening needed a SAG win to close the gap on Portman.
12 of 24 Fox Searchlight

Natalie Portman, Black Swan

After splitting a slew of critics awards with Bening and Lawrence early on, Portman pulled away from them in the past month, picking up the BFCA, Globe, SAG and BAFTA. Is Oscar next?
13 of 24 Roadside Attractions; Paramount Pictures; Weinstein Company; Warner Bros.; Focus Features

Supporting Actor

Christian Bale, The Fighter John Hawkes, Winter's Bone Jeremy Renner, The Town Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech
14 of 24 Roadside Attractions

John Hawkes, Winter's Bone

The veteran character actor has a bunh of minor critics awards nominations under his belt and a SAG nod — which bolstered his chances of getting an Oscar nod — but was snubbed by big groups like BFCA and the Globes.
15 of 24 Warner Bros.

Jeremy Renner, The Town

Renner has been a steady force in the supporting actor race, nabbing nominations at all the big precursors (BFCAs, Globes, SAGs), but no hardware to show for it.
16 of 24 Focus Features

Mark Ruffalo, The Kids Are All Right

Ruffalo was left off the Globes' short list, but the actor won the New York Film Critics Circle award, one of the top critics groups in the country.
17 of 24 Weinstein Company

Geoffrey Rush, The King's Speech

Rush has earned a handful of critics awards and recently took home the BAFTA for his first major win over Bale.
18 of 24 Paramount Pictures

Christian Bale, The Fighter

Though not as dominant in his sweep of the precursors as, say, the past two supporting actor Oscar winners (Christoph Waltz and Heath Ledger), Bale is stocking up his trophy case quite nicely with critics awards and wins at the Globes, SAGs, BFCAs and the National Board of Review.
19 of 24 Weinstein Group; Sony Pictures Classics; Paramount Pictures; Paramount Pictures; Paramount Pictures

Supporting Actress

Amy Adams, The Fighter Helena Bonham Carter, The King's Speech Melissa Leo, The Fighter Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom
20 of 24 Sony Pictures Classics

Jacki Weaver, Animal Kingdom

Weaver has won a few critics awards, including the National Board of Review, but her constant, um, weaving in and out of shortlists the whole season (she was snubbed by the SAGs) works against her.
21 of 24 Paramount Pictures

Amy Adams, The Fighter

Adams has shown up everywhere on nomination lists this season and won two smaller critics awards, but she's usually been overlooked for her co-star, Leo. Looks like the third Oscar nomination won't be the charm for her.
22 of 24 Weinstein Company

Helena Bonham Carter, The King's Speech

Like Adams, she's popped up everywhere, but unlike Adams, Bonham Carter has a big win to show for it, snagging the BAFTA.
23 of 24 Paramount Pictures

Hailee Steinfeld, True Grit

Steinfeld's the one who's made the biggest dent in Leo's awards sweep, racking up more than 10 critics awards. She was snubbed by the Globes, but so was True Grit in general.
24 of 24 Paramount Pictures

Melissa Leo, The Fighter

Leo's garnered a majority of the precursors, including the SAG, BFCA and the Globe — a somewhat surprising win given the Hollywood Foreign Press Association's fondness for marquee names. Interestingly though, Leo didn't even get nominated at the BAFTAs.