With the Oscars fast approaching, it's time to finalize your bets on which films will take home the night's top prizes.
Ahead of the night's broadcast, ABC enlisted ESPN number-crunchers Nate Silver and Walter Hickey to analyze some trends from past years. Among their findings: New York City is the most popular setting for Oscar nominees, husband-and-wife pairings are the relationships most often depicted in nominated films, and the most common cinema trope among past nominees is a good old-fashioned face slap.
Of the nine films that are nominated for Best Picture this year, 12 Years a Slave comes closest to matching Silver and Hickey's criteria.
Check out their analysis below. Which movie is your pick to win Best Picture?
The Academy Awards air live on ABC beginning at 8 p.m. ET.