Fun fact: No movie about movie-making has won Best Picture at the Oscars. Will The Artist break that tradition at the 84th Academy Awards? We'll have to wait until Sunday (8:30 p.m. ET/5:30 p.m. PT, ABC) to find out, but in the meantime, let's make some predictions. Check out the nominees here, print out your ballot, make your picks and compare them to ours below.
Hugo, The Artist lead Oscar nominations
Who will win: The Artist
Done deal. After sweeping almost every major precursor, the black-and-white valentine to the silent film era is poised to become the first silent film to win Best Picture since Wings triumphed at the first Academy Awards in 1929. Stylish, warm and a feel-good delight, it's executed so skillfully that you forget there is no dialogue. Plus, it has the best secret weapon of all: Uggie.
Watch out for: The Descendants
Alexander Payne's tale of human imperfection, which took home the Golden Globe for Best Picture on the drama side, picked up some last-minute steam with some industry trophies over the weekend, including the Writers Guild Award. But it's probably too little too late.
Did you know? The Artist, which has 10 nominations (Hugo leads with 11), would be the first entirely black-and-white film to win Best Picture since 1960's The Apartment. Schindler's List, which won 18 years ago, was not completely in black and white.
Who will win: Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
He's the only first-time nominee in the group, but the Frenchman, who's also nominated for Best Original Screenplay and Best Editing, ought to cruise to an easy victory here. Regardless of whether The Artist is your cup of tea, you can't deny that it's an enormous gamble that could've come off as a disingenuous gimmick. Hazanavicius pays homage to Hollywood's past while also imbuing the film with his own artistic vision. He's claimed nearly every big precursor so far, including the most reliable predictor, the Directors Guild Award, which has mismatched with the Oscars only six times since its inception in 1949.
Watch out for: Martin Scorsese, Hugo
One of Hazavanicius' few losses came at the hands of Scorsese at the Globes, which isn't that huge of a shock since the Hollywood Foreign Press Association is big on the star factor. Had Scorsese, nominated for his own love letter to movie-making, not finally won his first Oscar five years ago for The Departed, he might stand at a better chance for an upset.
Did you know? In Oscars' 83-year history, there's been a Best Picture and Best Director split 21 times, most recently six years ago when Crash won the top prize, while Ang Lee (Brokeback Mountain) claimed the latter.