Black Swan Black Swan

Will The King's Speech stage a royal flush at the 83rd Annual Academy Awards? Or will The Social Network prove to have the most friends in all the right Hollywood places? We'll find out Sunday, but for now, let's make some predictions. So put on your thinking caps, bust out your ballot, make your picks and compare them to ours below while we count down to the big night.

TV Guide Network's red carpet coverage begins Sunday at 5 ET/2 PT with Academy Awards Red Carpet Countdown, followed by Academy Awards Red Carpet with Chris Harrison at 6 ET/3 PT. The 83rd Annual Academy Awards start at 8:30/7:30c on ABC.

And be sure to tune in to TV Guide Network's
Academy Awards Red Carpet Fashion Wrap the next night at 8/7c.

Oscar nominees: Who should win?

Who will win:
The King's Speech
Oh, how the tides have turned. Just five weeks ago, The Social Network was the one to beat after making a near clean sweep of the critics awards, including wins at the Broadcast Film Critics Awards and the Golden Globes. But then the industry awards were handed out, and The King's Speech — whose heart-tugging, uplifting tone is a throwback to traditional Oscar favorites of yesteryear — made its own sweep of the Producers Guild Awards, the Directors Guild Awards and the Screen Actors Guild Awards (its screenplay wasn't eligible at the Writers Guild Awards.) Now with a leading 12 nominations, the Oscar is its to lose.
Watch out for: The Social Network
The zeitgeist-y drama still has its fervent supporters, but its subversive cautionary tale isn't as easy to embrace as The King's Speech's story of triumph over adversity. In many ways, the two are complete opposites: British vs. American. Inherited fortune vs. self-made fortune. Likable characters vs. unlikable characters. Friendship-forming vs. friendship-ending. While it's surprising how swiftly momentum has turned, it's not the first time a critical darling was taken down in the home stretch. L.A. Confidential made a mini-sweep of the critics' awards 13 years ago, before Titanic sunk it on the big night.
Did you know? Only one film has won the PGA, DGA and SAG and then failed to win Best Picture at the Oscars: 1995's Apollo 13.

Who will win:
David Fincher, The Social Network
There's only been a picture-director split 21 times in Oscar history and it looks likely that another will happen this year. Fincher may have lost the DGA, one of the best Oscar predictors, but he's a household name, is considered overdue and won the BAFTA. Think about that. On a predictably huge night for The King's Speech (it won seven trophies), the Brits gave out its director award to an American.
Watch out for: Tom Hooper, The King's Speech
Hooper has his upset DGA win and the advantage of helming the Best Picture favorite, but this race may play out similarly to that of 2002, when Roman Polanski (The Pianist), the respected (work-wise, at least) veteran, toppled Rob Marshall (Chicago), the DGA winner and Oscar newbie.
Did you know? Since its inception in 1949, the DGA has mismatched with Oscar a mere six times.

Oscar snubs and surprises: Who missed the cut?

The King's Speech tops Oscar nominations